Russian finance, like its economy, is heavily influenced by the country’s vast natural resources, particularly oil and gas. These resources have historically provided significant revenue, bolstering the national budget and supporting various social programs. However, this dependence also makes Russia vulnerable to fluctuations in global commodity prices.
The Russian financial system is dominated by state-owned or state-controlled banks. Sberbank and VTB are the two largest, wielding considerable influence over lending rates and investment decisions. Private banks exist but often face challenges competing with the scale and government backing of their state-affiliated counterparts.
The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) plays a crucial role in managing inflation, regulating the banking sector, and maintaining the stability of the ruble. Its actions are frequently scrutinized by international markets, particularly in response to geopolitical events and economic sanctions.
The ruble’s exchange rate has been subject to considerable volatility, particularly after 2014 when Russia annexed Crimea. Western sanctions restricted access to international capital markets, contributing to a sharp devaluation. The CBR has implemented various measures to stabilize the currency, including raising interest rates and intervening in foreign exchange markets.
The Moscow Exchange (MOEX) is the main stock exchange in Russia. It offers trading in equities, bonds, derivatives, and foreign exchange. While it has grown in recent years, its market capitalization is still relatively small compared to exchanges in developed economies.
Sanctions imposed on Russia have significantly impacted its financial system. They restrict access to foreign capital, limit technological imports, and target specific individuals and companies. These restrictions have hampered economic growth and complicated efforts to diversify the economy away from its reliance on natural resources.
In recent years, Russia has pursued a policy of “de-dollarization,” aimed at reducing its reliance on the US dollar in international trade and financial transactions. This involves increasing the use of other currencies, such as the euro and the yuan, in trade settlements and reserve holdings. However, the dollar remains the dominant currency in global trade, making a complete shift challenging.
The future of Russian finance is uncertain, heavily dependent on geopolitical developments, sanctions policies, and the global energy market. Diversification of the economy, improvement of the investment climate, and reform of the financial sector are key challenges that need to be addressed to ensure long-term stability and sustainable growth.